Novartis delivers strong sales growth, robust margin expansion and major innovation milestones. Raises FY guidance

Ad hoc announcement pursuant to Art. 53 LR

  • Q1 sales grew +8% (cc1, +3% USD) and core operating income grew +15% (cc, +8% USD)
    • Innovative Medicines (IM) sales grew +7% (cc, +3% USD) and core operating income +18% (cc, +11% USD)
    • IM core margin 38.7%, +360 bps cc, driven by higher sales and productivity programs
    • Growth driven by strong performance of EntrestoPluvictoKesimptaKisqali and Scemblix
    • Sandoz sales grew +8% (cc, +4% USD) and core operating income +3% (cc, -2% USD)
  • Operating income grew +9% (cc, 0% USD) mainly driven by higher sales
  • Net income grew +14% (cc, +3% USD) mainly due to higher operating income and higher interest income
  • Core EPS grew +25% (cc, +17% USD) to USD 1.71, mainly due to higher operating income and lower shares outstanding
  • Free cash flow2 was USD 2.7 billion (+95% USD) mainly due to higher operating income adjusted for non-cash items and favorable working capital
  • Q1 key innovation milestones:
    • Kisqali – Ph3 NATALEE trial met primary endpoint (iDFS) at interim analysis in adjuvant breast cancer
    • Cosentyx – 52 weeks positive readout from the pivotal trials in moderate-to-severe HS
    • Entresto – positive CHMP opinion for pediatric heart failure; if approved, RDP extends to November 2026
    • Pluvicto – In April FDA approved Millburn facility for commercial production of Pluvicto
  • Full-year 2023 group guidanceraised based on strong Q1 momentum3
    • Group Sales expected to grow mid-single digits (from low-to-mid single digits)
    • Group Core Opinc expected to grow high single digits (from mid-single digits)

Basel, April 25, 2023 – commenting on the quarter, Vas Narasimhan MD, CEO of Novartis, said: Novartis delivered strong growth to start 2023, driven by our in-market growth brands, in particular Entresto, Kisqali and Kesimpta. The Pluvicto and Scemblix launches continue on their strong trajectory, and the Leqvio launch is progressing steadily. In addition, we are driving R&D productivity by prioritizing high-value medicines across our five core therapeutic areas. Our pipeline momentum gives us confidence in our growth outlook, highlighted by the NATALEE Phase 3 positive readout for Kisqali in early breast cancer, and we look forward to upcoming readouts for iptacopan in multiple indications and Pluvicto in earlier lines of therapy. Our strong start to the year and confidence in our growth drivers allow us to raise guidance for the full year 2023.

Key figures1

 Q1 2023Q1 2022% change
 USD mUSD mUSDcc
Net sales12 95312 53138
Operating income2 8562 85209
Net income2 2942 219314
EPS (USD)1.091.00920
Free cash flow22 7201 39295 
Core operating income4 4134 083815
Core net income3 6143 2511118
Core EPS (USD)1.711.461725

Strategy Update

Our focus

With our new focused strategy unveiled in 2022, Novartis is transforming into a “pure-play” Innovative Medicines business. We have a clear focus on five core therapeutic areas (cardiovascular, immunology, neuroscience, solid tumors and hematology), with multiple significant in-market and pipeline assets in each of these areas, that address high disease burden and have substantial growth potential. In addition to two established technology platforms (chemistry and biotherapeutics), three emerging platforms (gene & cell therapy, radioligand therapy, and xRNA) are being prioritized for continued investment into new R&D capabilities and manufacturing scale. Geographically, we are focused on growing in our priority geographies – the US, China, Germany and Japan.

Our priorities

  1. Accelerate growth: Renewed attention to deliver high-value medicines (NMEs) and focus on launch excellence, with a rich pipeline across our core therapeutic areas.
  2. Deliver returns: Continuing to embed operational excellence and deliver improved financials. Novartis remains disciplined and shareholder-focused in our approach to capital allocation, with substantial cash generation and a strong capital structure supporting continued flexibility.
  3. Strengthening foundations: Unleashing the power of our people, scaling data science and technology and continuing to build trust with society.

Sandoz planned spin-off

The planned spin-off remains on track for the second half of 2023. Completion of the transaction is subject to certain conditions, including consultation with works councils and employee representatives (as required), general market conditions, tax rulings and opinions, final Board of Directors endorsement and shareholder approval in line with Swiss corporate law. The transaction is expected to be tax neutral to Novartis.

Financials

First quarter

Net sales were USD 13.0 billion (+3%, +8% cc) in the first quarter driven by volume growth of 16 percentage points, price erosion of 4 percentage points and the negative impact from generic competition of 4 percentage points.

Operating income was USD 2.9 billion (0%, +9% cc), mainly driven by higher sales. Other income from legal matters was more than offset by higher restructuring and impairment charges.

Net income was USD 2.3 billion (+3%, +14% cc), mainly due to higher operating income and higher interest income.

EPS was USD 1.09 (+9%, +20% cc), growing faster than net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Core operating income was USD 4.4 billion (+8%, +15% cc). Core operating income margin was 34.1% of net sales, increasing by 1.5 percentage points (+2.2 percentage points cc).

Core net income was USD 3.6 billion (+11%, +18% cc), mainly due to higher core operating income and higher interest income.

Core EPS was USD 1.71 (+17%, +25% cc), growing faster than core net income, benefiting from lower weighted average number of shares outstanding.

Free cash flow amounted to USD 2.7 billion (+95% USD), compared to USD 1.4 billion in the prior year quarter, mainly due to higher operating income adjusted for non-cash items and favorable changes in working capital.

Innovative Medicines net sales were USD 10.6 billion (+3%, +7% cc), with volume contributing 16 percentage points to growth. Sales growth was mainly driven by EntrestoPluvictoKesimpta and Kisqali partly offset by generic competition mainly for Gilenya. Generic competition had a negative impact of 5 percentage points. Pricing had a negative impact of 4 percentage points. Sales in the US were USD 4.1 billion (+11%) and in the rest of the world were USD 6.5 billion (-1%, +5% cc).

Sandoz net sales were USD 2.4 billion (+4%, +8% cc), with volume contributing 15 percentage points to growth. Sales growth was mainly driven by Europe, which benefited from strong volume growth driven by continued momentum from prior year launches and a strong cough and cold season. Pricing had a negative impact of 7 percentage points. Ex-US sales grew by +12% in cc. Global sales of Biopharmaceuticals grew to USD 518 million (+11%, +17% cc), driven by ex-US growth.

Q1 key growth drivers

Underpinning our financial results in the quarter is a continued focus on key growth drivers including:

Entresto(USD 1,399 million, +32% cc) sustained robust demand-led growth, with increased patient share across all geographies
Pluvicto(USD 211 million) with strong US launch performance, with demand continuing to exceed supply
Kesimpta(USD 384 million, +100% cc) sales growth across all geographies driven by increased demand and strong access
Kisqali(USD 415 million, +81% cc) grew strongly across all geographies, based on increasing recognition of its overall survival and quality of life benefits in HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer
Promacta/Revolade(USD 547 million, +15% cc) grew across most regions, driven by increased use in chronic ITP and as first-line and/or second-line treatment for severe aplastic anemia
Tafinlar + Mekinist(USD 458 million, +18% cc) sales grew across all geographies, driven by demand in BRAF+ adjuvant melanoma and NSCLC indications
Ilaris(USD 328 million, +19% cc) showed continued growth across all geographies
Scemblix(USD 76 million, +202% cc) continued its strong launch uptake demonstrating the high unmet need in CML
Leqvio(USD 64 million) launch progressing steadily including expansion into new geographies
Jakavi(USD 414 million, +13% cc) sales grew in Emerging Growth Markets, Europe and Japan, driven by strong demand in both myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera
Piqray(USD 116 million, +61% cc) sales grew mainly in the US, benefiting from indication expansion into PIK3CA-related overgrowth spectrum (PROS)
Lutathera(USD 149 million, +22% cc) sales grew mainly in the US and Japan due to increased demand
Cosentyx(USD 1,076 million, -4% cc) continued demand growth across key geographies, offset by revenue deduction adjustments in the US. Ex-US sales grew +17% (cc)
Sandoz Biopharmaceuticals(USD 518 million, +17% cc) driven by ex-US growth
Emerging Growth Markets*Overall, grew +14% (cc). China returned to growth post COVID lockdowns. (+1% cc, USD 829 million), with Innovative Medicines growing +5%
*All markets except the US, Canada, Western Europe, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand

Net sales of the top 20 Innovative Medicines products in Q1 2023

 Q1 2023% change
 USD mUSDcc
Entresto1 3992832
Cosentyx1 076-7-4
Promacta/Revolade5471115
Tasigna46204
Tafinlar + Mekinist4581418
Lucentis416-20-15
Kisqali4157481
Jakavi414613
Kesimpta38497100
Xolair354-42
Sandostatin32935
Ilaris3281519
Zolgensma309-15-14
Gilenya232-62-60
Pluvicto211nmnm
Exforge Group186-7-1
Galvus Group183-15-9
Diovan Group158-17-11
Lutathera1491922
Gleevec/Glivec147-26-21
Top 20 products total8 15748

nm= not meaningful

R&D update – key developments from the first quarter

New approvals

PluvictoIn April FDA approved Millburn facility for commercial production of Pluvicto. Expected to contribute meaningfully to supply in Q3 after the anticipated approval of additional lines
Tafinlar + MekinistApproved in the US for the treatment of pediatric patients ≥1 year of age with low-grade glioma with a BRAF V600E mutation who require systemic therapy
Hyrimoz (adalimumab)FDA approved biosimilar Hyrimoz (adalimumab-adaz) high-concentration formulation to treat seven indications covered by the reference medicine, Humira®

 

EC approved (April 3, 2023) citrate-free high concentration formulation of adalimumab biosimilar to treat all indications covered by the reference medicine, Humira®

Regulatory updates

EntrestoPositive CHMP opinion for pediatric heart failure indication. If approved, this would support extension of regulatory data protection in Europe to November 2026
Denosumab biosimilarFDA accepted BLA for proposed biosimilar denosumab. The application includes all indications covered by the reference medicines Prolia® and Xgeva®

Results from ongoing trials and other highlights

KisqaliPh3 NATALEE trial met its primary endpoint (iDFS) at an interim analysis. Kisqali plus ET significantly reduced the risk of disease recurrence, compared to ET alone, demonstrating consistent benefit in a broad population of patients with stage II and III HR+/HER2- early breast cancer, including those with no nodal involvement. Data will be presented at an upcoming meeting and submitted to regulatory authorities
CosentyxLong-term data from the pivotal SUNSHINE and SUNRISE trials evaluating Cosentyx in moderate-to-severe HS, demonstrated continued improvement in treatment response rates with over 55% of patients achieving a HiSCR at Week 52 and over 50% of patients demonstrating a meaningful reduction in pain. Data published in Lancet and presented at the 2023 AAD annual meeting
ZolgensmaData from two long-term follow-up studies, LT-001 and LT-002, show continued efficacy and durability of Zolgensma up to 7.5 years post-dosing, across a range of patient populations, with an overall benefit-risk profile that remains favorable. All pre-symptomatic children treated maintained or achieved all assessed motor milestones. Data presented at the 2023 MDA conference
R&D Portfolio Prioritization

 
Novartis continues to focus its R&D portfolio prioritizing high value medicines with transformative potential for patients. During the quarter, a comprehensive review of R&D projects resulted in decisions to discontinue or out-license projects for reasons including strategic fit and commercial potential, representing approximately 10% of the Novartis pipeline.
FAP-2286Acquired FAP-2286 (Ph1/2), a potential first-in-class radioligand therapy with the respective radioligand imaging agent, from Clovis Oncology
Bicycle PeptidesNovartis entered into research collaboration on bicyclic peptides with Bicycle Therapeutics

Capital structure and net debt

Retaining a good balance between investment in the business, a strong capital structure and attractive shareholder returns remains a priority.

In Q1 2023, Novartis repurchased a total of 31.5 million shares for USD 2.8 billion on the SIX Swiss Exchange second trading line under the up-to USD 15 billion share buyback announced in December 2021. In addition, 1.2 million shares (for an equity value of USD 0.1 billion) were repurchased from associates. In the same period, 10.5 million shares (for an equity value of USD 0.3 billion) were delivered as a result of options exercised and share deliveries related to participation plans of associates. Novartis aims to offset the dilutive impact from equity based participation plans of associates over the remainder of the year. Consequently, the total number of shares outstanding decreased by 22.2 million versus December 31, 2022. These treasury share transactions resulted in an equity decrease of USD 2.5 billion and a net cash outflow of USD 2.7 billion.

As of March 31, 2023, net debt increased to USD 15.1 billion compared to USD 7.2 billion at December 31, 2022. The increase was mainly due to the USD 7.3 billion annual dividend payment and net cash outflow for treasury share transactions of USD 2.7 billion, partially offset by USD 2.7 billion free cash flow in Q1 2023.

As of Q1 2023, the long-term credit rating for the company is A1 with Moody’s Investors Service and AA- with S&P Global Ratings. 

2023 outlook raised due to strong growth momentum

Barring unforeseen events; growth vs prior year in cc

Innovative MedicinesSales expected to grow mid-single digit (from low-to-mid single digit)
Core OpInc expected to grow high single to low double digit (from mid-to-high single digit)
Novartis ex. Sandoz
(IM + Corporate)
Sales expected to grow mid-single digit (from low-to-mid single digit)
Core OpInc expected to grow high single digit to low double digit (from mid-to-high single digit)
Novartis incl. Sandoz
(IM + Sandoz + Corporate)*
Sales expected to grow mid-single digit (from low-to-mid single digit)
Core OpInc expected to grow high single digit (from mid-single digit)

* Novartis Group guidance, assuming Sandoz would remain within the Group for the entire FY 2023

Barring unforeseen events; growth vs prior year in cc

SandozSales expected to grow mid-single digit (from low-to-mid single digit)
Core OpInc expected to decline low double digit, reflecting required stand-up investments to transition Sandoz to a separate company and continued inflationary pressures

Our guidance assumes that no Sandostatin LAR generics enter in the US in 2023. We continue to expect that the planned Sandoz spin-off is completed in H2 2023.

Foreign exchange impact
If late-April exchange rates prevail for the remainder of 2023, the foreign exchange impact for the year would be negligible on net sales and negative 3 to negative 4 percentage points on core operating income. The estimated impact of exchange rates on our results is provided monthly on our website.

Key figures1

GroupQ1 2023Q1 2022% change
 USD mUSD mUSDcc
Net sales12 95312 53138
Operating income2 8562 85209
As a % of sales22.022.8  
Core operating income4 4134 083815
As a % of sales34.132.6  
Net income2 2942 219314
EPS (USD)1.091.00920
Core net income3 6143 2511118
Core EPS (USD)1.711.461725
Cash flows from
operating activities
2 9571 64979 
Free cash flow2  2 7201 39295 
     
Innovative MedicinesQ1 2023Q1 2022% change
 USD mrestated3
USD m
USDcc
Net sales10 57010 23037
Operating income2 6752 627211
As a % of sales25.325.7  
Core operating income4 0883 6721118
As a % of sales38.735.9  
     
SandozQ1 2023Q1 2022% change
 USD mrestated3
USD m
USDcc
Net sales2 3832 30148
Operating income319394-19-14
As a % of sales13.417.1  
Core operating income504513-23
As a % of sales21.122.3  
     
CorporateQ1 2023Q1 2022% change
 USD mrestated3
USD m
USDcc
Operating loss-138-1691816
Core operating loss-179-102-75-78

1Constant currencies (cc), core results and free cash flow are non-IFRS measures. An explanation of non-IFRS measures can be found on page 35 of the Condensed Interim Financial Report. Unless otherwise noted, all growth rates in this Release refer to same period in prior year.
2To aid in comparability, the prior year free cash flow amounts have been revised to conform with the new free cash flow definition that was effective as of January 1, 2023.
3 Restated to reflect the transfers of the Sandoz division’s biotechnology manufacturing services to other companies’ activities and the Coartem brand to the Innovative Medicines division that was effective as of January 1, 2023.

Source: https://www.novartis.com/

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